Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 13.141516 15.093515 17.173693 19.548654 22.178076 24.993116 28.227624
2025-01-05 10.482256 13.018001 15.883731 19.339070 23.368077 27.893082 33.333770
2025-01-12 8.864811 11.759710 15.194966 19.524131 24.782964 30.911684 38.537985
2025-01-19 7.650244 10.764896 14.623562 19.675399 26.028337 33.663068 43.433672
2025-01-26 6.873945 10.190405 14.456678 20.227921 27.700538 36.912753 48.976171
2025-02-02 6.184007 9.628180 14.216505 20.611834 29.113045 39.833417 54.157980
2025-02-09 5.478336 8.952420 13.741506 20.611366 29.973756 42.033256 58.451453
2025-02-16 4.625777 7.964454 12.737849 19.795107 29.664282 42.655546 60.680665
2025-02-23 4.071261 7.351611 12.198462 19.559043 30.087721 44.210197 64.126094
2025-03-02 3.533690 6.701373 11.541144 19.091297 30.135670 45.225436 66.844371
2025-03-09 3.136468 6.229554 11.105428 18.902490 30.542621 46.712483 70.208126
2025-03-16 2.734704 5.702499 10.535703 18.463488 30.545931 47.612693 72.763352
2025-03-23 2.489391 5.422281 10.338499 18.583719 31.376667 49.707512 77.046943
2025-03-30 2.230747 5.087231 10.021638 18.488927 31.867968 51.317898 80.677791
2025-04-06 2.055894 4.887358 9.912164 18.710958 32.837538 53.634111 85.355165
2025-04-13 1.889189 4.683042 9.776277 18.874876 33.712613 55.824457 89.892244
2025-04-20 1.795442 4.613265 9.868942 19.416776 35.191110 58.937719 95.828466
2025-04-27 1.685242 4.496446 9.866072 19.791397 36.409340 61.684763 101.281348
2025-05-04 1.535090 4.276187 9.654964 19.792152 37.018080 63.517884 105.417259
2025-05-11 1.304686 3.847303 9.015383 19.002413 36.297165 63.289053 106.465329
2025-05-18 1.163547 3.601293 8.704894 18.774105 36.483851 64.449697 109.606790
2025-05-25 1.014611 3.313994 8.286846 18.321481 36.267222 64.962899 111.763552
2025-06-01 0.907225 3.112867 8.025134 18.138797 36.494734 66.171134 114.995679